Columbia River Fall Chinook 2008 Preseason Forecasts

Stock Group	2008 February Forecasts	2007 Actual Returns	2007 February Forecasts
Lower River Hatchery - LRH	59,000	32,700	54,900
Lower River Wild - LRW	3,800	4,300	10,100
Bonneville Pool Hatchery - BPH	87,200	14,600	21,800
Upriver Bright - URB	162,500	112,600	182,400
Bonneville Upriver Bright - BUB	26,400	24,300	38,500
Pool Upriver Bright - PUB	27,600	22,600	29,500
Columbia River Total	366,500	211,100	337,200

2008 Forecasts

• LRH - Improved over past two years’ returns and 74% of the recent 10-year average.
• LRW - Poor return. Second lowest return on record (since 1964).
• BPH - Significant improvement over last two years’ returns. Similar to recent 10-year average.
• URB - Strong return. 70% of the 10-year average.
• BUB - Similar to last year’s actual return. 66% of the 10-year average.
• PUB - Similar to last year’s actual return. 67% of the 10-year average.
• Total forecast of 366,500 Columbia River fall Chinook is greater than last year’s forecast and actual return. 74% of the recent 10-year average return of 494,300.

February 14, 2008
Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife
U.S. v Oregon Technical Advisory Committee Sub-group

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