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2009 Pre-Season
Salmon Forecast:
Coho
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2009 WDFW Washington Coho Forecast Summary1 |
|
Production unit |
Hatchery |
Hatchery esc. goal |
Wild |
Wild esc. goal |
Total H+W fcst |
| Dungeness R.2 |
5,765 |
900 |
- |
Scndry, no goal |
5,765 |
| Elwha R.2 |
1,619 |
1,000 |
- |
Scndry, no goal |
1,619 |
| Eastern Strait (excl. Dung, Elwha) |
- |
- |
3,242 |
see below |
3,242 |
| Western Strait |
- |
- |
17,223 |
see below |
17,223 |
| West/East sub-total excl. Dung, Elwha |
- |
- |
20,465 |
60 % (Low) |
20,465 |
| West/East Strait sub-total |
7,383 |
- |
20,465 |
- |
27,848 |
| |
| Nooksack River |
13,054 |
|
5,250 |
9,000 (secndry) |
18,304 |
| Lummi Ponds |
10,119 |
|
- |
- |
10,119 |
| 7B net pens |
0 |
|
- |
- |
0 |
| Indian Slough Hatchery |
1,026 |
|
- |
|
1,026 |
| Samish River |
- |
|
1,050 |
8,900 (secndry) |
1,050 |
| Misc 7&7A (incl. San Juans coOps) |
1,258 |
- |
744 |
1,000 (secndry) |
2,002 |
| Nooksack/Samish River sub-total |
25,457 |
- |
7,044 |
- |
32,501 |
| Skagit River sub-total |
11,730 |
- |
33,374 |
65 % (Low) |
45,104 |
| Stillaguamish River sub-total |
0 |
- |
13,400 |
65 % (Low) |
13,400 |
| |
| Snohomish River |
11,778 |
|
67,000 |
60 % (Low) |
78,778 |
| Tulalip Bay |
38,461 |
|
- |
- |
38,461 |
| Area 8A Misc. Hatchery |
3,350 |
|
- |
- |
3,350 |
| Snohomish River sub-total |
53,589 |
- |
67,000 |
- |
120,589 |
| |
| Lake Washington |
42,316 |
|
3,500 |
15,000 (secndry) |
45,816 |
| Green River |
32,196 |
|
5,200 |
8,000 (secndry) |
37,396 |
| Elliott Bay Net Pens |
30,856 |
|
- |
- |
30,856 |
| Misc. Area 10, 11, 10E |
0 |
|
10,200 |
~3,100 (secndry) |
10,200 |
| Mid-Sound sub-total |
105,368 |
- |
18,900 |
- |
124,268 |
| |
| Puyallup River |
31,729 |
|
13,600 |
11,000 (secndry) |
45,329 |
| Area 13A-K wild, exc. Deschutes |
- |
|
15,200 |
13,500 (secndry) |
15,200 |
| Area 13A Hatchery (Minter Creek) |
10,216 |
|
- |
- |
10,216 |
| Nisqually River |
6,145 |
|
1,900 |
4,000 (secndry) |
8,045 |
| Deschutes River |
- |
|
4,006 |
8,100 (secndry) |
4,006 |
| Area 13D net pens (Squaxin Island) |
35,308 |
|
- |
- |
35,308 |
| South Sound sub-total |
83,398 |
- |
34,706 |
- |
118,104 |
| |
| Area 9A (Port Gamble)2 |
7,815 |
- |
- |
Scndry, no goal |
7,815 |
| Area 12A - Quilcene River2 |
20,679 |
2,000 |
- |
Scndry, no goal |
20,679 |
| Area 12A - Quilcene Net Pens |
6,172 |
- |
- |
- |
6,172 |
| Area 12/12B |
- |
- |
20,345 |
- |
20,345 |
| Area 12C/12D (exc. Skokomish River) |
- |
- |
22,411 |
- |
22,411 |
| Skokomish River |
17,377 |
520 |
5,850 |
- |
23,227 |
| Area 12/12B-12D/Skokomish River sub-total |
17,377 |
- |
48,606 |
35 % (Norm) |
65,983 |
| Hood Canal sub-total |
52,043 |
- |
48,606 |
- |
100,649 |
| Puget Sound Total |
338,968 |
- |
243,495 |
- |
582,462 |
| |
| Willapa Bay |
59,420 |
|
33,544 |
13,100 |
92,964 |
| Grays Harbor |
63,485 |
|
59,226 |
35,400 |
122,711 |
| Quinault River |
26,210 |
|
16,313 |
- |
42,523 |
| Queets River |
13,537 |
|
0 |
5,800-14,500 |
13,537 |
| North Coast Indept. tributaries |
14,101 |
|
11,130 |
- |
25,231 |
| Hoh River |
0 |
|
9,496 |
2,000-5,000 |
9,496 |
| Quillayute River summer |
12,921 |
|
2,233 |
300 |
15,154 |
| Quillayute River fall |
39,471 |
|
19,259 |
6,300-15,800 |
58,730 |
| Coast total |
229,145 |
- |
151,201 |
- |
380,346 |
| |
| Columbia R. Early |
657,293 |
|
See note 3 |
- |
657,293 |
| Columbia R. Late |
352,405 |
|
See note 3 |
- |
352,405 |
| Columbia R. total3 |
1,009,698 |
- |
- |
- |
1,009,698 |
| GRAND TOTAL |
1,577,811 |
- |
394,696 |
- |
1,972,506 |
| |
Notes
- Ocean age 3 abundance
- Elwha, Dungeness, Area 9A, and Area 12A mgt. unit hatchery forecast values in this table INCLUDE natural production origin coho forecasts for these units, due to co-manager agreement on "secondary" mgt. status of natural coho production in these units. FRAM model uses discrete inputs for the individual hatchery and wild origin forecasts. The separate OA3 natural forecast values are: Elwha R.= 205, Dungeness R.= 571, mgt. unit 9A = 938, mgt. unit 12A = 1,312
- Columbia early and late forecast numbers include BOTH hatchery and wild origin components, because OPI historical runsize database used for forecasting has the wild fish embedded within the total runsize estimates. Columbia Wild forecast values are Washington Side Early = 9,312, Washington Side Late = 17,295, Oregon Side = 6,095
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