Forecasts and model runs

Forecasts and model runs for the 2021 seasons will be posted here as they become available.

Background

• North of Falcon background information and glossary

2021 Forecasts

• 2021 Columbia River spring-summer forecasts
• 2021 Chinook
• 2021 Pink, Chum, and Sockeye
• 2021 Coho
• 2021 Columbia River fall Chinook, coho, and steelhead forecasts

2020 Forecasts

• 2020 Columbia River spring-summer forecasts
• 2020 Chinook 
• 2020 Coho
• 2020 Chum and Sockeye
• Columbia River Fall Chinook 2019 Forecast/Actual Returns And 2020 Preseason Forecasts

Model Runs

The following model runs are preliminary proposals subject to change.

Coastal Fisheries (Willapa Bay and Grays Harbor)

Willapa Bay

• Model A – Last year’s 2020 fisheries, 2021 abundances
• Model B – Commercial proposal #1 with 2020 recreational season
• Model C – Staff Recommendation for fisheries
• Model D – Commercial proposal #2 with 2020 recreational season
• Model E -- Commercial proposal #3 with recreational changes to Nemah and Naselle rivers
• Model output and fishery summaries for Models A - E

Grays Harbor

• Fall salmon fishery model 2
• Fall salmon fishery model 3B
• Fall salmon fishery model 3C
• Fishery summaries comparison for models 2, 3B, and 3C

Puget Sound

• Chinook model run summary

• Coho model run summary under the Quinault treaty troll options

• Coho model run summary with the Makah treaty troll option